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WP4 - Validation of the Forecasting Modelling

The activity of WP4 consists in empirical analysis of financial networks aimed at validating the specific models developed in WP2 (T4.1-3). The validation is important not only in general to assess the predictive capability of the proposed models, but also for the value of the analysis and visualization tools offered by WP3. In this respect, a specific task (T4.5) is devoted to testing the various indicators of systemic risk across models and to validate the overall forecasting approach developed by the project.